Economic Growth

Poland Just Became the 6th Largest EU Economy. Western Europe Should Be Terrified.

Poland just became the sixth-largest EU economy, leapfrogging Switzerland and Belgium. The old story—EU handouts and cheap Ukrainian labor—misses the real shift: Poland converted external inputs into durable domestic capacity. Now it’s a direct competitor to Western Europe’s core. The center of gravity is moving east, and the old guard hasn’t prepared.

The Chinese Finger Trap Economy: How AI Became the Fed’s Worst Nightmare

The US economy is now dependent on AI capital expenditure for its marginal growth, but that same spending is a key near-term inflation driver. The Fed faces an impossible choice: ease to cushion an AI slowdown and risk fueling inflation, or hike into a recession. This is the Chinese finger trap that could crush your 401(k) and mortgage.