Stock Valuation

Palantir’s ‘Otherworldly’ Surge Is Pricing In the Next Decade of Miracles. That Should Terrify You.

Palantir’s stock surge isn’t pricing in what the company has done — it’s pricing in a decade of hoped-for commercial miracles. The real moat isn’t AI; it’s deep embeddedness in national security workflows, a position that’s both unassailable and fragile. When the market agrees a company can’t fail, that’s precisely when the downside becomes asymmetric.

Apple Is Doing Nothing About AI. That’s the Smartest Move in Tech.

While OpenAI, Google, and Microsoft burn billions chasing the AI hype cycle, Apple is doing nothing — and that might be the most rational strategy in tech. Apple’s historical playbook of entering mature markets late with refined products suggests they’re not behind on AI; they’re waiting for the bubble to deflate so they can absorb the technology at lower cost and risk. The question is whether AI is electricity or the metaverse.