Accuracy

Stop Building Better AI Models. You’re Losing the Real Video War.

The AI video market is a bloodbath, with a 98.7% failure rate for domestic content. As giants like ByteDance and Tencent pivot overseas, the battleground has shifted from single-point generation quality to full-chain capability. The real moat isn’t a better AI modelโ€”it’s owning the entire production-to-distribution loop.

Your ‘Smart’ Prediction Bot Is Losing to a Coin Flip. Here’s Why You’re Still Making Money.

We build sophisticated prediction bots to parse data and find an edge. But when scored by the Brier metric, one Kalshi bot was actually worse than a coin flip. Profitability is a liarโ€”it hides the fact that your ‘smart’ system is actively miscalibrated. Stop trusting P&L and start checking your math.

Stop Using AI to Fact-Check. The Consensus Is a Lie.

We treat AI as the ultimate fact-checker, but new research reveals frontier LLMs violently disagree on factual claims. The real danger isn’t hallucinationโ€”it’s that consensus among models is mistaken for correctness. Agreement isn’t truth; it’s just shared blind spots. Here’s why your AI fact-checker is lying to you.