Long-Term Planning

The Moon Base Will Never Happen — And It Has Nothing to Do With Rockets

Everyone’s focused on the engineering challenges of building a lunar base — radiation, dust, life support. But the real bottleneck isn’t technical. It’s institutional. No existing governance structure can sustain a 30-year commitment across political cycles, economic downturns, and CEO whims. The Moon base isn’t a rocket problem. It’s a commitment problem. And it’s a stress test for whether humanity can solve collective action problems at scale.