Bigger LLMs Won’t Fix AI Research. We’re Chasing the Wrong Bottleneck.
LLMs excel at generating plausible hypotheses from static text, but the real bottleneck in AI-driven research is closing the loop between prediction and real-world feedback. The next breakthrough won’t come from bigger models that know moreβit’ll come from embodied systems that learn from being wrong. Most of the field is optimizing the wrong bottleneck.